Poll: Hillary Clinton Would Beat Bill de Blasio in NYC Mayor’s Race

Recently, rumors started swirling that former Secretary of State and 2016 Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton was considering entering the New York City mayoral race in 2017.

They were likely just rumors, and Clinton confidante Neera Tanden shot down those rumors on CNN’s State of the Union by saying she doesn’t think Clinton will ever run for office again.

“I don’t expect her to run for this and I don’t expect her to run for other office,” Tanden said. I think her job is to–what she’s thinking about right now is how to help those kids and families as she has her whole life.”

Tanden added, “I think she’s going to figure out ways to help kids and families. That’s been what she’s been focused on her whole life, and a lot of issues that are affecting them, over the next couple of years.”

If Clinton is not considering a run, that doesn’t mean she can’t change her mind, of course, especially considering what we’re seeing in a poll that’s just been released.

A new Quinnipiac University poll out this week shows that if Clinton ran against current Mayor Bill de Blasio in the Democratic primary, she would beat him 61% to 30%. That’s not even close.

Also, if Clinton decided to run as an Independent candidate, she would win that match-up as well, 49% to 29%. Again, not even close.

Even if Clinton entered the race, there’s no guarantee that those poll numbers would stay that way. A heated primary contest could get ugly, especially since de Blasio is the sitting mayor and Clinton would be trying to unseat someone from her own party. And we saw how high her poll numbers were before she entered the 2016 presidential race, compared to where they were by the time of the general election.

But New York City is definitely Clinton territory, as she won 63% of NYC votes in the 2016 Democratic presidential primary, and 76% in the general election. Plus, New Yorkers know her very well, since she was their U.S. Senator for eight years.

Something else in Clinton’s favor is de Blasio’s approval numbers. The current mayor has a 45% approval rating, while 46% of voters disapprove of how he’s handling the job.

Even worse, only 42% want de Blasio to be re-elected, while 48% do not want him sticking around.

Tim Malloy, the assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll, said, “New Yorkers aren’t in love with Mayor Bill de Blasio, but they seem to like him better than other possible choices–except Hillary Clinton, who probably is an impossible choice. None of the possible contenders has made any real noise or spent any money, so this race still could get interesting.”

As we said, it’s highly unlikely that Clinton will run for mayor of New York City, but it’s still fun to speculate about. Politics Village will keep you updated on this mayoral race when any major news breaks.

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